The Behavior Gap: Why Knowing Does Not Mean Doing Better

By Lucas Borgarello7 min read

"Doing well with money has a little to do with how smart you are and a lot to do with how you behave."

— Morgan Housel, The Psychology of Money

This advice matters because most people think that investment represents a math test: although math can help investors make informed decisions, emotions may cause investors to make poor decisions. In this blog, I will reveal how fear, greed, and herd instinct destroy smart plans and offer three simple rules to make calm decisions instead of being compelled by passions.

In short, financial success depends less on smarts but more on emotional control. While financial advice often fails due to a lack of knowledge, many people fail because, although they know the right thing to do, their emotions prevent them from doing so. For instance, common advice teaches investors to buy low and sell high; however, who would want to buy low whenever news screams "crash"? Therefore, this gap between intelligence and action is where fear, greed, and herd instincts diminish solid strategy.

Fear: The False Exit Sign

Fear turns market volatility into a false exit sign. Consider this: two friends, each with $100,000. John buys and holds his investment in the S&P 500, while Sam sells whenever the market crashes and re-enters whenever the market recovers. In ten years, John will have around $260,000 while Sam will have $130,000. Sam earned 50% less.

John (Buy & Hold)

$260,000

Sam (Panic Selling)

$130,000

Both started with $100,000 over 10 years

As illustrated, panic can cause investors to miss out on compounding. Although it may have seemed rational to sell when the graph is red, resisting anxiety can pay dividends because holding a stock through the ups and downs helps compounding.

Greed: The Moving Goalpost

Greed sneakily moves goalposts. Following a stock doubling, Ana bought more of the stock, convinced the trend would continue. The past seems like a prediction of the future. It's not.

"The hardest financial skill is getting the goalpost to stop moving."

— Morgan Housel, The Psychology of Money

Think of a hyped stock like a fast car -- although it gets to the destination faster, there's a higher chance of a crash. Therefore, pick a limit today, a max percentage of portfolio size or a quarterly goal, because if you do not, you risk losing big.

Cautionary Tale: Jesse Livermore

Livermore, a legendary Wall Street Trader, was worth millions by his 20s. He was named "The Great Bear of Wall Street". In 1929, he predicted the stock market crash and made $100 million in a single day ($1.7 billion today) by shorting the market.

However, greed drove Livermore to riskier gambles, eventually losing everything and dying by suicide. For just as winning big one time did not guarantee future success, so too does making lots of money not determine a future upward trend. Livermore's life reveals that even genius investing skills cannot overcome emotional mismanagement.

Herd Instinct: Buy High, Sell Low

Herd instinct tempts you to buy high and sell low. In January 2021, when GameStop went from $20 to $400, millions bought at $300 because "everyone else was". When the stock crashed to $40, those same investors sold at a massive loss. The crowd isn't always right. Although everyone else was buying GameStop, it doesn't mean you should.

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

— Warren Buffett

Wear Buffett's lesson like a belt that keeps your investments secure.

3 Unbreakable Rules

Technical analysis matters. Strategy matters. But most mistakes occur when feelings override plans. Therefore, follow these 3 simple rules unbreakable by emotions:

1

Position Limits

Never put more than 5-10% of your portfolio in a single stock. No exceptions, no matter how "confident" you feel.

2

The 24-Hour Pause

Before any trade based on emotion, wait 24 hours. If it still makes sense tomorrow, proceed.

3

Automate Everything Possible

Set up automatic contributions to index funds. Use limit orders instead of market orders. Remove emotion from the equation entirely.

Works Cited

Housel, Morgan. The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness. Harriman House, 2020.